In a moment of feeling virtuously like a true gardener (which I’m really not), I purchased the newest edition of the online Farmer’s Almanac, just released last month. I’ve always found the Almanac fascinating, and am often amazed at the level of accuracy of their long range weather forecasts.
With anticipation for looking at their weather forecast for Austin, in the hopes of reading about some upcoming rain storms, here’s what I read:
Weather for Texas, beginning November 2008:
Winter temperatures will be one to two degrees below normal, on average, with the coldest periods in the first half of December, early and late January, and mid-February. Precipitation will be slightly below normal, with above-normal snowfall from the Alamo to the Metroplex and below-normal snowfall elsewhere. The snowiest periods will be in mid-December, early to mid-January, and mid- and late February.
April and May will be warmer and drier than normal, with hot temperatures in mid- and late May.
Summer temperatures will be two to three degrees above normal, on average, with the hottest periods in late June, the greater part of July, and early August. Expect a hurricane in late July or early August.
September and October will be slightly rainier than normal, with temperatures below normal in the north and above normal in the south.
So here’s how I read that: all of the tender perennials that I planted this year and nursed through the heat and drought are now going to be challenged by continued dry weather and an unusually cold and snowy winter. Following that, we will have continued drought and extreme heat.
I feel discouraged just reading that! Say it ain’t so!
Here’s detailed forecasts for October and November:
Avg. Temperature: 72° (8° above avg. north, 2° above south)
Precipitation: 2.5″ (1.5″ below avg.)
Oct. 1-7: Sunny, warm
Oct. 8-15: Scattered t-storms, warm
Oct. 16-21: T-storms, warm
Oct. 22-25: Sunny, warm
Oct. 26-31: T-storms, warm
Avg. Temperature: 58.5° (5° above avg. north, avg. south)
Precipitation: 2.5″ (0.5″ below avg.)
Nov. 1-3: Sunny north, t-storms south
Nov. 4-12: Sunny, warm
Nov. 13-16: T-storms, warm
Nov. 17-21: Sunny north, t-storms south
Nov. 22-30: Sunny, cool